Publikationen

2023

Bringhenti , T., Joubert, E., Abdulai, I., Hoffmann, M. P., Moriondo, M., Taylor, P. J., & Roetter, R. P. (2023): Effects of environmental drivers and irrigation on yields of macadamia orchards along an altitudinal gradient in South Africa. Scientia Horticulturae, 321, 112326.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scienta.2023.112326
Anders, M., Grass, I., Linden, V. M. G., Taylor, P. J., Westphal, C. (2023): Smart orchard design improves crop pollination. Journal of Applied Ecology 00, 1–14.
DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.14363

2022

Ferreira, N. C.R., Bracho-Mujica, G., Nelson, W. C. D., Lam, Q. D., Recktenwald, C., Abdulai, I., Odhiambo, J., Foord, S. (2022): Drought patterns: their spatiotemporal variability and impacts on maize production in Limpopo province, South Africa. Int J Biometeorol 67, 133–148.
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-022-02392-1
Klinck, L., Ayisi, K.K., Isselstein, J. (2022) : Drought-Induced Challenges and Different Responses by Smallholder and Semicommercial Livestock Farmers in Semiarid Limpopo, South Africa - An Indicator-Based Assessment. Sustainability 14, 8796.
DOI:10.3390/su14148796.
Nelson, W. C. D., Hoffmann, M. P., May, C., Mashao, F., Ayisi, K., Odhiambo, J., Bringhenti, T., Feil, J. H., Yazdan Bakhsh, S., Abdulai, I. & Rötter, R. P. (2022): Tackling climate risk to sustainably intensify smallholder maize farming systems in southern Africa Environmental Research Letters 17, 75005.
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac77a3.
Pfeiffer, M., Hoffmann, M. P., Scheiter, S., Nelson, W.C:D, Isselstein, J., Ayisi, K. K, Odhiambo, J, Rötter, R. P. (2022): Modeling the effects of alternative crop–livestock management scenarios on important ecosystem services for smallholder farming from a landscape perspective.Biogeosciences 19, 3935–3958.
DOI: 10.5194/bg-19-3935-2022.

2021

Scheiter, S., Pfeiffer, M. (2021): Savannen der Erde und ihre Gefährdung. In: Lozán, J.L., Breckle, S.W., Graßl, H. & Kasang, D. (Ed.). Warnsignal Klima: Boden & Landnutzung 87-92.
DOI:10.25592/warnsignal.klima.boden-landnutzung.29
Clemen, T., Lenfers, U.A., Dybulla, J., Ferreira, S.M., Kiker, G.A., Martens, C., Scheiter, S. (2021): A cross-scale modeling framework for decision support on elephant management in Kruger National Park, South Africa. <>Ecological Informatics 62, 101266.
DOI:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2021.101266
Lamega, S.A., Komainda, M., Hoffmann, M.P., Ayisi, K.K., Odhiambo, J.J.O., Isselstein, J. (2021): It depends on the rain: smallholder farmers’ perceptions on the seasonality of feed gaps and how it affects livestock in semi-arid and arid regions. Climate Risk Management 34, 100362
DOI:10.1016/j.crm.2021.100362
Palosuo, T., Hoffmann, M.P., Rötter, R.P., Lehtonen, H.S. (2021): Sustainable intensification of crop production under alternative future changes in climate and technology: The case of the North Savo region. Agricultural Systems 190, 103135.
DOI:10.1016/j.agsy.2021.103135
Laux, P., Rötter, R.P., Webber, H., Dieng, D., Rahimi, J., Wie, J., Faye, B., Srivastava, A.K., Bliefernicht, J., Adeyeri, O., Arnault, J. and Kunstmann, H. (2021): To bias correct or not to bias correct? An agricultural impact modelers’ perspective on regional climate model data. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 304-305, 108406.
DOI:10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108406
Mouratiadou, I., Latka, C., van der Hilst, F., Müller, C., Berges, R., Bodirsky, B.L., Ewert, F., Faye, B., Heckelei, T., Hoffmann, M.P., Lehtonen, H., Lorite, I.J., Nendel, C., Palosuo, T., Rodríguez, A., Rötter, R.P., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Stella, T., ..., Wicke, B. (2021): Quantifying sustainable intensification of agriculture: The contribution of metrics and modelling. Ecological Indicators 129, 107870.
DOI:10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107870
Muller, M., Siebert, S.J., Ntloko, B.R., Siebert, F.: A floristic assessment of grassland diversity loss in South Africa. Bothalia 51(1), a11.
DOI:10.38201/btha.abc.v51.i1.11
Rötter, R.P., Scheiter, S., Hoffmann, M.P., Pfeiffer, M., Nelson, W.C.D., Ayisi, A., Taylor, P., Feil, J.-H., Yazdan Bakhsh, S., Isselstein, J., Lindstädter, A., Behn, K., Westphal, C., Odhiambo, J., Twine, W., Grass, I., Merante, P., Bracho‐Mujica, G., Bringhenti, T., Lamega, S., Abdulai, I., Lam, Q.L., Anders, M., Linden, V., Weier, S., Foord, S., Erasmus, B. (2021): Modeling the multi-functionality of African savanna landscapes under global change. Land Degrad Dev 32: 2077-2081.
DOI:10.1002/ldr.3925

2020

Corbeels, M., Naudin, K., Whitbread, A.M., Kühne, R., Letourmy, P.: Limits of conservation agriculture to overcome low crop yields in sub-Saharan Africa. Nat Food 1, 447–454.
DOI:10.1038/s43016-020-0114-x
Hoffmann, M. P., Swanepoel, C. M., Nelson, W. C. D., Beukes, D. J., van der Laan, M., Hargreaves, J. N. G., Rötter, R. P.: Simulating medium-term effects of cropping system diversification on soil fertility and crop productivity in southern Africa. European Journal of Agronomy 119, 126089.
DOI:10.1016/j.eja.2020.126089
Martens, C., Hickler, T., Davis‐Reddy, C., Engelbrecht, F., Higgins, S.I., von Maltitz, G.P., Midgley, G.F., Pfeiffer, M. and Scheiter, S.: Large uncertainties in future biome changes in Africa call for flexible climate adaptation strategies. Global Change Biology 27, 340-358.
DOI:10.1111/gcb.15390
Munjonji, L., Ayisi, K. K., Mudongo, E. I., Mafeo, T. P., Behn, K., Mokoka, M. V., Linstädter, A.: Disentangling Drought and Grazing Effects on Soil Carbon Stocks and CO2 Fluxes in a Semi-Arid African Savanna. Frontiers in Environmental Science 8, 590665.
DOI:10.3389/fenvs.2020.590665
Pfeiffer, M., Kumar, D., Martens, C., Scheiter, S.: Climate change will cause non-analogue vegetation states in Africa and commit vegetation to long-term change. Biogeosciences 18, 5829-5847.
DOI:10.5194/bg-17-5829-2020
Savary, S., Akter, S., Almekinders, C., Harris, J., Korsten, L., Rötter, R., Waddington, S., Watson, D.: Mapping disruption and resilience mechanisms in food systems. Food Security 12, 695–717.
DOI:10.1007/s12571-020-01093-0
Scheiter, S., Moncrieff, G., Pfeiffer, M., Higgins, S.: African biomes are most sensitive to changes in CO2 under recent and near-future CO2 conditions. Biogeosciences 17, 1147–1167.
DOI:10.5194/bg-17-1147-2020

2019

Asseng, S., Martre, P., Maiorano, A., Rötter, R. P. et al.: Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein. Glob Change Biol 25, 155– 173.
DOI:10.1111/gcb.14481
Franke, J., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Ruane, A.C., Jagermeyr, J., Balkovic, J., Ciais, P., Dury, M., Falloon, P., Folberth, C., Francois, L., Hank, T., Hoffmann, M., Izaurralde, R.C., Jacquemin, I., Jones, C., Khabarov, N., Koch, M., Li, M., Liu, W., Olin, S., Phillips, M., Pugh, T.A.M., Reddy, A., Wang, X., Williams, K., Zabel, F., Moyer, E. : The GGCMI Phase II experiment: global gridded crop model simulations under uniform changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen levels (protocol version 1.0). Geosci. Model Dev. 13, 2315-2336
DOI:10.5194/gmd-2019-237
Linden, V.M.G., Grass, I., Joubert, E., Tscharntke, T., Weier, S.M., Taylor, P.J.: Ecosystem services and disservices by birds, bats and monkeys change with macadamia landscape heterogeneity. Journal of Applied Ecology 56, 2069-2078.
DOI:10.1111/1365-2664.13424
Pfeiffer, M., Langan, L., Linstädter, A., Martens, C.; Gaillard, C., Ruppert, J.C., Higgins, S.I., Mudongo, E.I., Scheiter, S.: Grazing and aridity reduce perennial grass abundance in semi-arid rangelands – Insights from a trait-based dynamic vegetation model. Ecological Modelling 395, 11-22.
DOI:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.12.013
Pirttioja, N., ... Rötter, R. P., & Carter, T. R.: Using impact response surfaces to analyse the likelihood of im-pacts on crop yield under probabilistic climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 264, 213-224.
DOI:10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.10.006
Rapholo, E., Odhiambo, J.J.O., Nelson, W.C.D., Rötter, R.P., Ayisi, K., Koch, M., Hoffmann, M.P.: Maize–lablab intercropping is promising in supporting the sustainable intensification of smallholder cropping systems under high climate risk in southern Africa. Experimental Agriculture 56(1), 104-117.
DOI:10.1017/S0014479719000206
Tao, F., Palosuo, T., Rötter, R.P., Hernández Díaz-Ambrona, C.G., Mínguez, M.I., Semenov, M.A., Kersebaum, K.C., Cammarano, D., Specka, X., Nendel, C., Srivastava, A.K., Ewert, F., Padovan, G., Ferrise, R., Martre, P., Rodríguez, L., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Gaiser, T., …, Schulman, A.H.: Why do crop models diverge substantially in climate impact projections? A comprehensive analysis based on eight barley crop models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 281, 107851.
DOI:10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.107851
Trnka, M., Feng, S., Semenov, M.A., Olesen, J.E., Kersebaum, K.C., Rötter, R.P., Semerádová, D., Klem, K., Huang, W., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Hlavinka, P., Meitner, J., Balek, J., Havlík, P., Büntgen, U.: Mitigation efforts will not fully alleviate the increase in water scarcity occurrence probability in wheat-producing areas. Science Advances 5(9), 2406.
DOI:10.1126/sciadv.aau2406
Scheiter, S., Schulte, J., Pfeiffer, M., Martens, C., Erasmus, B.F., Twine, W.: How does climate change influence the economic value of ecosystem services in savanna rangelands? Ecological Economics 157, 342-356.
DOI:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.11.015

2018 (Limpopo Living Landscapes)

Gaillard, C., Langan, L., Pfeiffer, M., Kumar, D., Martens, C., Higgins, S.I., Scheiter, S.: African shrub distribution emerges via height – sapwood conductivity trade-off. Journal of Biogeography 45, 2815-2826.
DOI:10.1111/jbi.13447
Hoffmann, M.P., M. Haakana, S. Asseng, J.G. Höhn, T. Palosuo, M. Ruiz-Ramos, S. Fronzek, F. Ewert, T. Gaiser, B.T. Kassie, K. Paff, E.E. Rezaei, A. Rodríguez, M. Semenov, A.K. Srivastava, P. Stratonovitch, F. Tao, Y. Chen, R.P. Rötter.: How does inter-annual variability of attainable yield affect the magnitude of yield gaps for wheat and maize? An analysis at ten sites. Agricultural Systems 159, 199-208.
DOI:10.1016/j.agsy.2017.03.012
Hoffmann, M.P., Odhiambo, J.J.O., Koch, M., Ayisi, K., Zhao, G., Soler, A.S., Rötter, R.P.: Exploring adaptations of groundnut cropping to prevailing climate variability and extremes in Limpopo Province, South Africa. Field Crops Research 219, 1-13.
DOI:10.1016/j.fcr.2018.01.019
Joseph, G.S., Mauda, E.V., Seymour, C.L., Munyai, T.C., Dippenaar-Schoeman, A.S., Foord, S.H.: Landuse Change in Savannas Disproportionally Reduces Functional Diversity of Invertebrate Predators at the Highest Trophic Levels: Spiders as an Example. Ecosystems 21, 930-942.
DOI:10.1007/s10021-017-0194-0
Mauda, E. V., Joseph, G.S., Seymour, C., Munyai, T., Foord, S.H.: Changes in land use alter ant diversity, assemblages and dominant functional traits in African savannas. Biodiversity and Conservation 27(4), 947-965.
DOI:10.1007/s10531-017-1474-x
Montesino-San Martin, M., Wallach, D., Oleson, J.E., Challinor, A.J., Hoffmann, M.P., Koehler, A.K., Rötter, R.P., Porter, J.R.: Data requirements for crop modelling—Applying the learning curve approach to the simulation of winter wheat flowering time under climate change. European Journal of Agronomy 95, 34-44.
DOI:10.1016/j.eja.2018.02.003
Nelson, W.C.D., M.P. Hoffmann, V. Vadez, R.P. Rötter, A.M. Whitbread.: Testing pearl millet and cowpea intercropping systems under high temperatures. Field Crops Research 217, 150-166.
DOI:10.1016/j.fcr.2017.12.014
Nendel, C., Reimund P. Rötter, Peter J. Thorburn, Kenneth J. Boote, Frank Ewert.: Editorial Introduction to the Special Issue “Modelling cropping systems under climate variability and change: impacts, risk and adaptation.” Agricultural Systems 159, 139-143.
DOI:10.1016/j.agsy.2017.11.005
Rodríguez, A., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Palosuo, T., Carter, T.R., Fronzek, S., Lorite, I.J., Ferrise, R., Pirttioja, N., Bindi, M., Baranowski, P., Buis, S., Cammarano, D., Chen, Y., Dumont, B., Ewert, F., Gaiser, T., Hlavinka, P., Hoffmann, H., …, Rötter, R.P.: Implications of crop model ensemble size and composition for estimates of adaptation effects and agreement of recommendations. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 264, 351-362.
DOI:10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018
Rötter, R.P., Appiah, M., Fichtler, E., Kersebaum, K.C., Trnka, M., Hoffmann, M.P.: Linking modelling and experimentation to better capture crop impacts of agroclimatic extremes—A review. Field Crop Research 221, 142-156.
DOI:10.1016/j.fcr.2018.02.023
Rötter, R.P., Hoffmann, M.P., Koch, M., Müller, C.: Progress in modelling agricultural impacts of and adaptations to climate change. Current Opinion in Plant Biology 45:B, 255-261.
DOI:10.1016/j.pbi.2018.05.009
Swanepoel, C.M., Rötter, R.P., van der Laan, M., Annandale, J.G., Beukes, D.J., du Preez, C.C., Swanepoel, L.H., van der Merwe, A., Hoffmann, M.P.: The benefits of conservation agriculture on soil organic carbon and yield in southern Africa are site-specific. Soil and Tillage Research 183, 72-82.
DOI:10.1016/j.still.2018.05.016
Tao, F., Rötter, R.P., Palosuo, T., Hernández Díaz-Ambrona, C.G., Mínguez, M.I., Semenov, M.A., Kersebaum, K.C., Nendel, C., Specka, X., Hoffmann, H., Ewert, F., Dambreville, A., Martre, P., Rodríguez, L., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Gaiser, T., Höhn, J.G., Salo, T., Ferrise, R., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., Schulman, A.H.: Contribution of crop model structure, parameters and climate projections to uncertainty in climate change impact assessments. Global Change Biology 24:3, 1291-1307.
DOI:10.1111/gcb.14019